March 7, 2010

Any last guesses for what the surprises of the night will be?

Will there be a big upset in Best Picture (Precious or Up perhaps?), Best Actor (Jeremy Renner?), or any other category?
-Now's your chance to let loose with them before the show!
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21 comments:

  1. Joey MagidsonMarch 7, 2010 at 4:03 PM

    I've spent enough time going over the race in the last year (and more recently, months) that anything could happen and I wouldn't be surprised, but that's just me...

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  2. insurrbutionMarch 7, 2010 at 4:23 PM

    Bullock WON'T win, and 'Basterds' will do original screenplay.

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  3. Joey MagidsonMarch 7, 2010 at 4:28 PM

    Neither would be huge surprises (unless you mean Streep not winning either), but those could certainly occur.

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  4. wild things for best picture!March 7, 2010 at 4:35 PM

    Does Nine take anything by surprise? maybe Costume? even though i didn't like the film it was one of if not the most beautiful film of the year.

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  5. MichaelQMarch 7, 2010 at 4:35 PM

    It's still my biggest wish that Up in the Air will win best picture along with screenplay and best actor. So just because I'm in love with the picture I'll say that Clooney and UITA will win big-time.

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  6. Joey MagidsonMarch 7, 2010 at 4:36 PM

    Wild Things...that would certainly count as a surprise.

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  7. Joey MagidsonMarch 7, 2010 at 4:36 PM

    Michael, I'd be just as happy with that, if not more so, but I think it'll just have to settle for screenplay...

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  8. UnknownMarch 7, 2010 at 5:12 PM

    As I've said earlier, my big upset prediction is Firth over Bridges.

    Hard to pick any other upsets, because so much is still (relatively) close. Tarintino or Boal for Original Screenplay. Streep or Bullock (maybe Mulligan) for Actress. Bigalow or Cameron for Director. Avatar or Hurt Locker for picture.

    Should make for an exciting year.

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  9. JohnMarch 7, 2010 at 5:12 PM

    Gabby takes Best Actress.

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  10. Joey MagidsonMarch 7, 2010 at 5:14 PM

    Indeed Aaron

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  11. Joey MagidsonMarch 7, 2010 at 5:14 PM

    and John...that would certainly count as an upset.

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  12. Hr. Cules...March 7, 2010 at 5:18 PM

    I don't think he will win, but I do believe that every voter though about Jeremy Renner saying "I'm sorry", just before voting.

    Also I really hope Distric 9 wins Adapted Screenplay.

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  13. ClementMarch 7, 2010 at 6:04 PM

    I've been trying to come up with a method for Renner to win Best Actor...and I'm not nearly smart enough to find one. (I did the same for Mackie outgunning Damon for a Best Supporting nod. That was a little easier to dismiss, sadly, due to Damon's status and Mackie's lack-thereof.)

    That's one of the tougher parts of the Oscars for me, the "Career Achievement" mantra.

    Then again, I haven't seen "Crazy Heart", so I won't assume Bridges doesn't deserve to be such a heavy favorite and front runner. Although I HATE when people get something that is "due" to them. Best example? Of course it's Pacino hoo-hahing his way to robbing Denzel in Malcolm X.

    However, despite my desire to see an upset or two, I am a little nauseated at more than few (*cough LA Times*) Oscar bloggers who feel Bigelow is a lock ONLY as a woman and not due to her near flawless direction. Going as far as saying that if a man directed this, it wouldn't be such a big deal. That's too easy and too sexist a comment to make.

    If this were, let's say, a movie the caliber of The Messenger (very well-respected but not an Oscar frontrunner), Bigelow wouldn't have the same "let's just reward a woman and get it over with" mojo far too many careless bloggers have labeled the race for Best Director with.

    Fortunately, such writers are nowhere near to be found on this site. Kudos to you all on another outstanding year. (I'd also like to note if Hurt Locker does win Best Picture, you all deserve one HELL of a pat on the back in the field of predicting Oscars.)

    I'm curious Joey, what do you think of the slanted-reporting from the LA Times on the Best Picture race?

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  14. UnknownMarch 7, 2010 at 6:07 PM

    One small upset prediction...

    Take It All from Nine upsetting The Weary Kind from Crazy Heart.

    AMPAS loves Cotillard and I suspect there might be some guilt over her performance getting lost in the vague space between lead and supporting.

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  15. Joey MagidsonMarch 7, 2010 at 6:07 PM

    Hr. Cules- I do think Renner is the #2 pick

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  16. Joey MagidsonMarch 7, 2010 at 6:11 PM

    Clement- First, thanks again for the compliments. If we end up being right about The Hurt Locker, it'll be a nice pat on the back, but hey, we're about who WILL win, not who we want to win.

    As for the LA Times reporting, it's the easy story, so that's what they go with. It takes effort to go into detail, and big media doesn't tend to have time for that. Just look at the Kevin Smith Southwest Airlines story. Kathryn Bigelow winning because she's a women is a quick soundbite/blurb, just like Smith just being fat, and not the airline messing up, is the easier story. It is what it is.

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  17. Joey MagidsonMarch 7, 2010 at 6:12 PM

    Aaron- I don't see it, but hey, who knows?

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  18. MattMarch 7, 2010 at 8:10 PM

    Final Predicts
    Picture: Avatar; Runner-up: Hurt Locker
    Director: Bigelow, Runner-up: Cameron
    Actor: Bridges, Runner-up: Firth
    Actress: Bullock, Runner-Up: Mulligan
    Supporting Actor: Waltz, Runner-Up: Harrelson
    Supporting Actress: Mo'nique, Runner-Up: Gyllenhaal
    Original Screenplay: Hurt Locker, Runner-Up: Inglourious Basterds
    Adapted Screenplay: Up in the Air, Runner-Up: District 9
    Animated: Up, Runner-Up: Fantastic Mr. Foc
    Foreign Language: An Education, Runner-Up: White Ribbon
    Documentary: The Cove, Runner-Up: Food Inc.
    Score: Up, Runner-Up: Avatar
    Song: Weary King, Runner-Up: Take It All
    Sound Editing: Avatar, Runner-Up: Hurt Locker
    Sound Mixing: Avatar, Runner-Up: Hurt Locker
    Art Direction: Avatar, Runner-Up: Nine
    Cinematography: Avatar, Runner-Up: Hurt Locker
    Makeup: Star Trek, Runner-Up: Young Victoria
    Costume: Bright Star, Runner-Up: Young Victoria
    Film Editing: Hurt Locker, Runner-Up: Avatar
    Visual: Avatar, District 9

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  19. Joey MagidsonMarch 7, 2010 at 8:12 PM

    An Education isn't eligible for Foreign Film, but aside from that, it could happen...

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  20. nickMarch 7, 2010 at 9:30 PM

    Matt, you may be right, I hate to say... Hate your picks, I'm gunning for actress upsets (gabby sidibe, jeremy renner?), best picture "upset" (the hurt locker), film editing (inglourious)

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  21. MattMarch 8, 2010 at 1:39 PM

    I meant to put A Prophet not An Education, but it didn't win so I guess it doesn't matter now

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