Yes sir. It plays to me like something in the vein of Crazy Heart or The Last Station, at least in terms of awards potential.
The thing is, it's somewhat of a known quantity since it screened at Toronto last year and got good, but great, marks from critics in attendance. That means we know it won't suck, but we also know it has a somewhat short ceiling for success.
I'm just gonna go ahead and say it: Bill Murray will win the Best Supporting Actor Oscar next year.
It just seems like the kind of role, the "right time," and the overdue actor to get it. I'm getting such serious Robin Williams/Morgan Freeman vibes from this performance that I think only a come-from-nowhere explosive perf can derail its Oscar chances.
I agree with Robert, Murray is definitely a frontrunner at this point in the supporting category. He is just one of those actors that the academy will make others wait so he can win.
With the reviews and the trailer already out, I would say we almost have our first lock for a Best Pic nominee this year. I wouldn't give it any chance to win, but I don't really see a way it won't make the lineup. That said Murray and Duvall look amazing and I'm intrigued to see what Lucas Black will do with the opportunity. He has stood toe to toe with some decent actors in his limited career and though his range may be somewhat limited, I've thoroughly enjoyed his work in everything from Jarhead to Friday Night Lights.
I think it's a fools errand to say ANY film is a lock right now, especially since the reviews weren't quite that unanimously loving, but I do agree that it could conceivably get nominated in a number of categories, but if I were a betting man, Murray, Duvall, and the screenplay are where its best chances are, but who knows?
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NEW PREDICTIONS 3/18/10 (Full Predictions now updated)
BEST PICTURE "The American" "Black Swan" "Blue Valentine" "The Company Men" "The Fighter" "Get Low" "Hereafter" "Howl" "Inception" "The Tree of Life"
BEST DIRECTOR Darren Aronofsky "Black Swan" Derek Cianfrance "Blue Valentine" Clint Eastwood "Hereafter" Terrence Malick "The Tree of Life" Christopher Nolan "Inception"
BEST ACTOR Johnny Depp "The Rum Diary" Leonardo DiCaprio "Inception" Robert Duvall "Get Low" James Franco "Howl" Ryan Gosling "Blue Valentine"
BEST ACTRESS Annette Bening "Mother and Child" Diane Lane "Secretariat" Julianne Moore "The Kids Are All Right" Michelle Williams "Blue Valentine" Robin Wright "The Conspirator"
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR Scott Glenn "Secretariat" Jeff Goldblum "Morning Glory" Samuel L. Jackson "Mother and Child" Bill Murray "Get Low" Giovanni Ribisi "The Rum Diary"
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS Irina Bjorklund "The American" Barbara Hershey "Black Swan" Bryce Dallas Howard "Hereafter" Julianne Moore "Chloe" Naomi Watts "Mother and Child"
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY "All Good Things" "Black Swan" "Blue Valentine" "Inception" "Mother and Child"
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY "The Adjustment Bureau" "The American" "The Rum Diary" "The Social Network" "Winters Bone"
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE "Despicable Me" "Shrek Forever After" "Toy Story 3"
BEST ART DIRECTION "Agora" "Alice in Wonderland" "Shanghai" "The Tree of Life" "Your Highness" BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY "Robin Hood" "Shanghai" "Shutter Island" "The Tree of Life" "True Grit"
BEST COSTUME DESIGN "Agora" "Alice in Wonderland" "Robin Hood" "Shanghai" "The Tempest"
BEST FILM EDITING "Black Swan" "The Fighter" "Hereafter" "Inception" "The Tree of Life" BEST MAKEUP "Alice in Wonderland" "Jonah Hex" "A Nightmare on Elm Street"
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE "Agora" "Inception" "Toy Story 3" "The Tree of Life" "True Grit"
BEST ORIGINAL SONG "Blue Valentine" "Greenberg" "Rapunzel" "Shrek Forever After" "Toy Story 3"
BEST SOUND MIXING "Green Zone" "Iron Man 2" "The Last Airbender" "Toy Story 3" "Tron: Legacy"
BEST SOUND EDITING "Iron Man 2" "Jonah Hex" "The Last Airbender" "Salt" "Tron: Legacy"
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS "Iron Man 2" "The Last Airbender" "Tron: Legacy"
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM Coming Soon
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE Coming Soon BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT Coming Soon
It certainly has potential to be a player on the acting fronts...
ReplyDeleteYea, definitely looks like an intriguing film with some really good performances. I'm looking forward to it.
ReplyDeleteIndeed. I'm not expecting Best Picture or anything, but it could be a very nice little film.
ReplyDeleteI agree. I'm not seeing a Best Picture contender, but I do think this will be a nice showcase for the actors. I'm looking forward to this as well.
ReplyDeleteYes sir. It plays to me like something in the vein of Crazy Heart or The Last Station, at least in terms of awards potential.
ReplyDeleteThe thing is, it's somewhat of a known quantity since it screened at Toronto last year and got good, but great, marks from critics in attendance. That means we know it won't suck, but we also know it has a somewhat short ceiling for success.
I have to say it looks really good to me!!!
ReplyDeleteDefinitely looks enjoyable. I'm anxious to see it, I just know I'll like it better with mildly tempered expectations...
ReplyDeleteI'm just gonna go ahead and say it: Bill Murray will win the Best Supporting Actor Oscar next year.
ReplyDeleteIt just seems like the kind of role, the "right time," and the overdue actor to get it. I'm getting such serious Robin Williams/Morgan Freeman vibes from this performance that I think only a come-from-nowhere explosive perf can derail its Oscar chances.
It's a distinct possibility.
ReplyDeleteI agree with Robert, Murray is definitely a frontrunner at this point in the supporting category. He is just one of those actors that the academy will make others wait so he can win.
ReplyDeleteWell, he's who I'm predicting right now on the Chart to win.
ReplyDeleteThat being said, I don't think he's a lock or anything...time will tell.
ReplyDeleteWith the reviews and the trailer already out, I would say we almost have our first lock for a Best Pic nominee this year. I wouldn't give it any chance to win, but I don't really see a way it won't make the lineup. That said Murray and Duvall look amazing and I'm intrigued to see what Lucas Black will do with the opportunity. He has stood toe to toe with some decent actors in his limited career and though his range may be somewhat limited, I've thoroughly enjoyed his work in everything from Jarhead to Friday Night Lights.
ReplyDeleteI think I'll go ahead and predict: Get Low will outgross Avatar as the most profitable film of all-time.
ReplyDeleteI think it's a fools errand to say ANY film is a lock right now, especially since the reviews weren't quite that unanimously loving, but I do agree that it could conceivably get nominated in a number of categories, but if I were a betting man, Murray, Duvall, and the screenplay are where its best chances are, but who knows?
ReplyDeleteWell played George...
ReplyDelete