wow what started as a season with a lot of excitment has gotten really boring, really quickly. I loved NCfOM and its my favorite of the year, but please give me some variety
God...that was boring. The winners are all very deserved (though I was really hoping for Juno to win Actress and Picture), but also REALLY boring. I guess if you have to pick a year to possibly not have a televised Oscar ceremony, this is a good time. Still, something tells me that they might pull off a shocker at the Oscars. It seems way too predictable now...
Very true, Brian. There will be one shocker at least. Look at The Aviator/Million Dollar Baby and Brokeback Mountain/Crash. Okay, maybe the second one is not a good example since there were extenuating circumstances.
I think that a film like Atonement could very well upset for Best Picture come Oscar night. Or something else. Maybe Into the Wild?
Once the nominations are announced it will be easier to start guessing at what the shocker might be.
Also, I would be very happy to see Daniel Day-Lewis win a second Oscar. But if Viggo Mortensen gets nominated, a part of me would be thrilled if he won Lead Actor. :)
This really didn't change the race at all....we all know No Country is the frontrunner....i'd still say Into the Wild seems like the one that might be able to knock it off...but time will tell
Joey, I agree that Into the Wild could be the one that knocks it out. But I'm still not counting out Atonement, despite the snubs.
Also, Sasha Stone at Awards Daily was saying that they used to post the vote counts. Last year The Departed won the BFCA by a landslide. Unfortunately, they've removed the counts from their site and appears that they won't post them anymore. It's too bad. It would be interesting to see how close it was between the winners and the runner-ups.
Many Oscar watchers believe that AMPAS has a large majority of anglophiles and favors British films and actors. If that's the case, Atonement will definitely be their cup of tea.
Plus, I think it really is the type of film that they often embrace. We'll see.
I happened to love the film. It's beautifully filmed and acted. One of the biggest complaints I've heard from critics is that it wasn't exactly like the book (critics who panned Sweeney did the exact same thing, focusing on parts of the show weren't in the film), which to me is unfair. The book is very complex and it couldn't possibly be exactly translated onto film. But they did an excellent job adapting it to the screen, in my opinion.
Also, the film has many layers. It's one of those movies that reveal new and deeper things with each new viewing.
This year is just like all the rest: boring. The winners at the Oscars will be the same as these except for maybe Amy Ryan--she could lose to someone else--but everything else will be identical.
I was very disappointed that Cate didn't win Supporting Actress. I thought she deserved it and at the rate Ryan is receiving honours from the precursors, I'm very afraid Cate may lose the Oscar. She's one actress who deserves the honour AGAIN. Last year was unfortunate for her that there was Hudson (who was deserving). This year should be Blanchett's year. Ryan was good, no doubt. But Blanchett DESERVES it.
And yes. I do hope there'll be a surprise at the Oscars. It's getting mundane. I loved the race a few months ago... Now, it's getting less competitive. HAIZZZ!
I WOULD LOVE FOR ATONEMENT TO STEAL THE OSCAR SHOW and for McAvoy to be nominated for lead actor and Ronan for supporting actress. I think Atonement’s a beautifully crafted film technically. It deserves cinematography and especially original score honours. The acting was less outstanding but such a magnificent film overall. Marvelous.
IMO, it seems that No Country for Old Men is the only lock for a best picture nominee. I'm pretty sure There Will Be Blood and Atonement will be nominated as well, but again, there are just so many great films this year that besides NCFOM, it's quite an open race.
Did the BFCA awards change anything... no not really... besides reassuring us that the critics loved NCFOM and that Daniel Day-Lewis is a lock to win Best Actor. Everything else is somewhat unclear: Supporting Actor, Actress, and I'd say even Lead Actress is still a tight race. But Diablo Cody's win just proves that she's the clear frontrunner to win for Original Screenplay in a fairly strong (but not nearly as strong as the adapted screenplay) category.
Nothing much changed, those that one were expected to, or at least very anticipated to. There were no shockers, but that doesn't mean it was boring. Into The Wild might surprise some at the Oscars, you never know. No Country has been at the top for a while, so people are starting to get bored seeing it pop up in almost each of the precursor awards, and a shocker is anticipated by most, but as Alison said, once the nominations are announced it will be easier to tell how likely a shock is, and who/what will provide it.
NCfOM isn't the kind of movie that usually wins Best Pic. Doesn't mean it isn't the frontrunner, or that it shouldn't be the frontrunner, but if voters discover a viable alternative it could be in trouble. Atonement SHOULD be that alternative, it's certainly good enough, but for whatever reason it hasn't really captured America in the way I'd anticipated (but there's still some time). Into the Wild has the strong SAG backing, but I don't think the momentum for it is widespread enough, and really if forced to choose between that and NCfOM, it's going to be NCfOM for most voters. Juno is THE alternative right now as I see it, based on its amazing box office success, critical acclaim, and Ebert seal of approval (he did call Crash, remember). The thing about Juno is, it doesn't really transcend its humble indie comedy roots like Little Miss Sunshine did. It's a fine film, but it might be the least deserving of the candidated I've mentioned. Then there's TWBB and/or American Gangster, which simply won't pull it off. So basically, I don't think this is predetermined at all. NCfOM looks about as inevitable as Hillary Clinton did a couple months ago, but people like to eschew the "default" when possible.
The word "boring" is being thrown around quite a lot. Is this the main reason NCFoM should not win the Oscar? because of its obvious predictability...Into the Wild shouldn't win because it will be exciting and shocking. It should win because it is the better movie [depending on how one defines 'better]. I won't deny that predictability is often boring. but boredom should not dramatically change the tide in voting.
I think we have another Brokeback Mountain on our hands. It is just getting so boring the Academy needs to spice things up! Hopefully with Sweeney Todd, but probably not. INTO THE WILD CAN NOT WIN GOD DAMN IT! It hasn't grossed nearly enough at the box office and won't!
right now, it looks like Into the Wild might snag a nomination, but I really doubt a win. If anything but NCFOM wins it will be Atonement or Juno. GO JUNO!
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BEST DIRECTOR Darren Aronofsky "Black Swan" Derek Cianfrance "Blue Valentine" Clint Eastwood "Hereafter" Terrence Malick "The Tree of Life" Christopher Nolan "Inception"
BEST ACTOR Johnny Depp "The Rum Diary" Leonardo DiCaprio "Inception" Robert Duvall "Get Low" James Franco "Howl" Ryan Gosling "Blue Valentine"
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BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR Scott Glenn "Secretariat" Jeff Goldblum "Morning Glory" Samuel L. Jackson "Mother and Child" Bill Murray "Get Low" Giovanni Ribisi "The Rum Diary"
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS Irina Bjorklund "The American" Barbara Hershey "Black Swan" Bryce Dallas Howard "Hereafter" Julianne Moore "Chloe" Naomi Watts "Mother and Child"
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY "All Good Things" "Black Swan" "Blue Valentine" "Inception" "Mother and Child"
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BEST ANIMATED FEATURE "Despicable Me" "Shrek Forever After" "Toy Story 3"
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Why? Why did they act like they were so important, like they were the first ones to award No Country For Old Men. Maybe they'll be the last?
ReplyDeletewow what started as a season with a lot of excitment has gotten really boring, really quickly. I loved NCfOM and its my favorite of the year, but please give me some variety
ReplyDeleteGod...that was boring. The winners are all very deserved (though I was really hoping for Juno to win Actress and Picture), but also REALLY boring. I guess if you have to pick a year to possibly not have a televised Oscar ceremony, this is a good time. Still, something tells me that they might pull off a shocker at the Oscars. It seems way too predictable now...
ReplyDeleteVery true, Brian. There will be one shocker at least. Look at The Aviator/Million Dollar Baby and Brokeback Mountain/Crash. Okay, maybe the second one is not a good example since there were extenuating circumstances.
ReplyDeleteI think that a film like Atonement could very well upset for Best Picture come Oscar night. Or something else. Maybe Into the Wild?
Once the nominations are announced it will be easier to start guessing at what the shocker might be.
Also, I would be very happy to see Daniel Day-Lewis win a second Oscar. But if Viggo Mortensen gets nominated, a part of me would be thrilled if he won Lead Actor. :)
This really didn't change the race at all....we all know No Country is the frontrunner....i'd still say Into the Wild seems like the one that might be able to knock it off...but time will tell
ReplyDeleteJoey, I agree that Into the Wild could be the one that knocks it out. But I'm still not counting out Atonement, despite the snubs.
ReplyDeleteAlso, Sasha Stone at Awards Daily was saying that they used to post the vote counts. Last year The Departed won the BFCA by a landslide. Unfortunately, they've removed the counts from their site and appears that they won't post them anymore. It's too bad. It would be interesting to see how close it was between the winners and the runner-ups.
i would have liked to have seen the voting tally as well
ReplyDeleteinto the wild is my pick, but i keep looking at Atonement as the most oscar friendly of the bunch
Many Oscar watchers believe that AMPAS has a large majority of anglophiles and favors British films and actors. If that's the case, Atonement will definitely be their cup of tea.
ReplyDeletePlus, I think it really is the type of film that they often embrace. We'll see.
I happened to love the film. It's beautifully filmed and acted. One of the biggest complaints I've heard from critics is that it wasn't exactly like the book (critics who panned Sweeney did the exact same thing, focusing on parts of the show weren't in the film), which to me is unfair. The book is very complex and it couldn't possibly be exactly translated onto film. But they did an excellent job adapting it to the screen, in my opinion.
Also, the film has many layers. It's one of those movies that reveal new and deeper things with each new viewing.
This year is just like all the rest: boring. The winners at the Oscars will be the same as these except for maybe Amy Ryan--she could lose to someone else--but everything else will be identical.
ReplyDeleteI was very disappointed that Cate didn't win Supporting Actress. I thought she deserved it and at the rate Ryan is receiving honours from the precursors, I'm very afraid Cate may lose the Oscar. She's one actress who deserves the honour AGAIN. Last year was unfortunate for her that there was Hudson (who was deserving). This year should be Blanchett's year. Ryan was good, no doubt. But Blanchett DESERVES it.
ReplyDeleteAnd yes. I do hope there'll be a surprise at the Oscars. It's getting mundane. I loved the race a few months ago... Now, it's getting less competitive. HAIZZZ!
I WOULD LOVE FOR ATONEMENT TO STEAL THE OSCAR SHOW and for McAvoy to be nominated for lead actor and Ronan for supporting actress. I think Atonement’s a beautifully crafted film technically. It deserves cinematography and especially original score honours. The acting was less outstanding but such a magnificent film overall. Marvelous.
i think amy and cate are equally as good this year it's a nice race...though i really liked Catherine Keener too this year
ReplyDeleteIMO, it seems that No Country for Old Men is the only lock for a best picture nominee. I'm pretty sure There Will Be Blood and Atonement will be nominated as well, but again, there are just so many great films this year that besides NCFOM, it's quite an open race.
ReplyDeleteDid the BFCA awards change anything... no not really... besides reassuring us that the critics loved NCFOM and that Daniel Day-Lewis is a lock to win Best Actor. Everything else is somewhat unclear: Supporting Actor, Actress, and I'd say even Lead Actress is still a tight race. But Diablo Cody's win just proves that she's the clear frontrunner to win for Original Screenplay in a fairly strong (but not nearly as strong as the adapted screenplay) category.
Nothing much changed, those that one were expected to, or at least very anticipated to. There were no shockers, but that doesn't mean it was boring. Into The Wild might surprise some at the Oscars, you never know. No Country has been at the top for a while, so people are starting to get bored seeing it pop up in almost each of the precursor awards, and a shocker is anticipated by most, but as Alison said, once the nominations are announced it will be easier to tell how likely a shock is, and who/what will provide it.
ReplyDeleteNCfOM isn't the kind of movie that usually wins Best Pic. Doesn't mean it isn't the frontrunner, or that it shouldn't be the frontrunner, but if voters discover a viable alternative it could be in trouble. Atonement SHOULD be that alternative, it's certainly good enough, but for whatever reason it hasn't really captured America in the way I'd anticipated (but there's still some time). Into the Wild has the strong SAG backing, but I don't think the momentum for it is widespread enough, and really if forced to choose between that and NCfOM, it's going to be NCfOM for most voters. Juno is THE alternative right now as I see it, based on its amazing box office success, critical acclaim, and Ebert seal of approval (he did call Crash, remember). The thing about Juno is, it doesn't really transcend its humble indie comedy roots like Little Miss Sunshine did. It's a fine film, but it might be the least deserving of the candidated I've mentioned. Then there's TWBB and/or American Gangster, which simply won't pull it off. So basically, I don't think this is predetermined at all. NCfOM looks about as inevitable as Hillary Clinton did a couple months ago, but people like to eschew the "default" when possible.
ReplyDeleteThe word "boring" is being thrown around quite a lot. Is this the main reason NCFoM should not win the Oscar? because of its obvious predictability...Into the Wild shouldn't win because it will be exciting and shocking. It should win because it is the better movie [depending on how one defines 'better]. I won't deny that predictability is often boring. but boredom should not dramatically change the tide in voting.
ReplyDeleteI think we have another Brokeback Mountain on our hands. It is just getting so boring the Academy needs to spice things up! Hopefully with Sweeney Todd, but probably not. INTO THE WILD CAN NOT WIN GOD DAMN IT! It hasn't grossed nearly enough at the box office and won't!
ReplyDeleteright now, it looks like Into the Wild might snag a nomination, but I really doubt a win. If anything but NCFOM wins it will be Atonement or Juno. GO JUNO!
ReplyDelete