The Directors Guild of America will announce their nominees tomorrow and this will definitely clear the Best Picture race up a little bit. At this point, The Coen Bros. are the only lock and any of the predictions 2 through 5 can be left off for any of the alternates. So, your guess is as good as mine. Leave your predictions on the post. And thanks to Joey M. for covering the coverage of the BFCA's, analysis and comments will come tomorrow. This is what happens when you have a Monday night class that doesn't understand the importance of awards season.
- Joel Coen & Ethan Coen-No Country for Old Men
- Sean Penn-Into the Wild
- Paul Thomas Anderson-There Will Be Blood
- Joe Wright-Atonement
- Julian Schnabel-The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Alternates
- Ridley Scott-American Gangster
- Tim Burton-Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street
- Jason Reitman-Juno
- Tony Gilroy-Michael Clayton
- Sidney Lumet-Before the Devil Knows You're Dead
Posts
Despite the BFCA upset, I'm still predicting Tim Burton for a nomination. Call me a cock-eyed optimist. So here my predix:
ReplyDeleteBurton (Sweeney Todd)
Coen Brothers (No Country for Old Men)
Lumet (Before the Devil Knows You're Dead)
Schnabel (The Diving Bell and the Butterfly)
Wright (Atonement)
Anytime Clay
ReplyDeleteI'll take a shot at this:
Paul Thomas Anderson (Blood)
Coen Brothers (No Country)
Sean Penn (Into the Wild)
Julian Schnabel (Diving Bell)
Ridley Scott (Gangster)
my oddball alternates are Affleck, Lumet, and Reitman
No Burton, Joey? Am I the only one that still has hope?
ReplyDeletei gave his spot to Lumet...figured age before beauty...but who knows
ReplyDeleteAh. Yes, I've got Lumet in my predictions. If there's any sentimentality at all in the guild, they'll honor him.
ReplyDeleteAnd maybe Adrienne Shelley for Waitress. That's my long long shot, No Guts No Glory prediction.
Paul Thomas Anderson
ReplyDeleteCoen's
Julian Schnabel
Sean Penn
Sidney Lumet
Here are my predictions:
ReplyDeleteEthan and Joel Coen (No Country for Old Men)
Paul Thomas Anderson (There Will Be Blood)
Julian Schnabel (The Diving Bell and the Butterfly)
Joe Wright (Atonement)
Ridely Scott (American Gangster)
Although I do have this feeling that Tim Burton's going to sneak in... we'll see.
Here they are:
ReplyDeletePaul Thomas Anderson - There Will Be Blood
Joel and Ethan Coen - No Country For Old Men
Sean Penn - Into The Wild
Joe Wright - Atonement
Julian Schnabel - The Diving Bell and The Butterfly
Who I left out:
Ridley Scott - American Gangster
Jason Reitman - Juno
Sidney Lumet - Before The Devil Knows You're Dead
Tim Burton - Sweeney Todd
*I have a feeling about Burton, he is a close call, and I haven't completely lost hope on him, he can be sneaky. My toss up is Joe Wright, if it isn't him, it's Burton or Scott, in my opinion.
PT Anderson (Blood)
ReplyDeleteCoens (No Country)
Lumet (Before the Devil...)
Schnabel (Diving Bell)
Penn (Into The Wild)
Alternates:
Wright (Atonement)
Burton (Sweeney)
Scott (Gangster)
I'd have to say
ReplyDeleteP.T. Anderson - There Will be Blood
Tim Burton - Sweeney Todd
The Coen Brothers - No Country for Old men
Ridley Scott - American Gangster
Joe Wright - Atonement
The winner will probably be the Coen brothers. If there's any justice, Burton will win. Even if Sweeney gets left out of the pest picture race, Burton and Depp should at least both be nominated for their incredible work on this film and their overall body of work in general.
official nominees:
ReplyDeletePaul Thomas Anderson
Coen Brothers
Tony Gilroy
Sean Penn
Julian Schnabel
read 'em and weep, atonement fangirls, it's finally (deservedly) out of the race.
I called Scott over Gilroy... still, puts it in a safe spot for BP. Looking like
Into the Wild
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
and one wild card - diving bell, juno (needs pga), god forbid maybe even atonement?
Well, I got 3/5 right. Gilroy was a shocker to me and I had Penn as an alternate.
ReplyDeleteAnonymous, don't be surprised if Wright replaces one of these five in the Oscar lineup. If one puts stock in Mark Harris' observations of Academy patterns, there is always one British director that gets in. Just saying. :)
Wow, dead on except for Gilroy, although I'm thrilled he got in. I thought Michael Clayton was a magnificent film, very deserving of accolade, but I guess I didn't see Gilroy as enough of a name to compete with higher profiles like Burton or Scott or Lumet (who was my one wrong pick. Meanwhile, There Will Be Blood is going rapidly uphill, Into the Wild is looking more like a lock, and Atonement's fate is becoming very uncertain.
ReplyDeleteAs usual, Burton gets snubbed completely. Why do the guilds and academy hate him? Who knows.... =(
ReplyDeleteHey, don't necessarily count him out at the Oscars yet. Admittedly, his chances have become significantly weaker now, but stranger things have happened, and Burton could still pick up a nod at the academy.
ReplyDeleteI hope you're right Myles. I think it's borign to keep honoring people that already have oscars. Why not get some new people into the oscar race for once? Thats why, despite that fact that I love Clint Eastwood's films, I always hate it when he makes one because he (and Woody Allen) get nominated every goddamn time. Sometimes it seems like the academy nominates their royalty just so they can say they did.
ReplyDeleteClayton, do you even know what you are talking about?
ReplyDeleteI agree completely Neo. Though I'll confess to not being the biggest fan of Burton's body of work, I thought Sweeney Todd in particular was masterfully done and well deserving of accolade, and though it's lost a lot of buzz I'm still pulling for a surprise nod in the key categories. A PGA nomination would be a huge boost, so fingers crossed.
ReplyDeleteAnd nightmare, don't go accusing Clayton of not knowing what he's talking about. To quote The Departed: "If we only had an idea of what we do, we would not be very good at what we do, now would we? We would be cunts. You calling us cunts?"