Hi all...Joey here, and today I put forth the following item for discussion....which film does everyone think will be the most nominated by the Academy when the nominees are announced? Will No Country for Old Men dominate the nominations? Or will Atonement prove to really be tailor made for the Academy? Or will something like Sweeney Todd make a killing (pun intended)?
Personally, I think Into the Wild will end up with the most nominations (not just because it's my favorite film of the year) due to it's potential for a strong showing in almost any category....it could reach double digits, nominations wise.
Go ahead guys...tear this one apart!
Who will be the proverbial belle of the ball?
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I just really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really, really hope it's Atonement.
ReplyDeleteGod, the race is so screwy this year anything can happen. Most of the Oscar pundits have a similar idea as to what they think will be nominated, with maybe one or two differences here and there. But I wouldn't be surprised if something unexpected gets in, something that received little to no precursor attention. My choice would be 3:10 to Yuma. :)
ReplyDeleteIf the Oscar nominations follow the guilds however, No Country for Old Men (which has garnered the most nominations - I think it was nominated by every guild and precursor except the FX categories) will end up with the most noms. I'm thinking 8+ nominations.
Into the Wild, though it missed the PGA, also seems to have strong support.
Despite the lack of guild love, however, Atonement and/or Sweeney could end up garnering a lot of nominations as well. The guilds honored American films, directors and performers this year. I'm not sure if that's political or not; but it's important to keep in mind that the guilds are American unions.
There is a core group of British voters in the Academy. If they get behind Atonement, I could see this getting as many nominations as No Country.
Finally, Sweeney Todd, though absent from most of the precursor awards (it only got 3 compared to No Country's 8) could get loads of art/tech noms, plus lead actor and possibly BP and Director if enough people loved it. Bonham-Carter is more of a longshot, but she could be a surprise nominee.
The other films that got a large number of guild nominations include TWBB and Michael Clayton. I don't see either of these garnering the most nominations, especially TWBB, which just may not be AMPAS' cup of tea.
Conclusion to this long-winded argument: No Country for Old Men seems the most likely to garner tons of noms, followed by Into the Wild.
Atonement's techs will help rack up. I still have faith.
ReplyDeleteNo Country's techs rely on cinematography and editing. It needs almost all the actors to get recognized to be the most nominated film.
Sweeney has the techs but not the performances aside from Johnny.
There Will Be Blood could be this year's Gangs of New York. Just a hunch...
There Will Be Blood could be this year's Gangs of New York.
ReplyDeleteInteresting thought, Clayton. It was nominated for like 9 or 10 Oscars. I'm thinking it could go either way: either garnering 7 or 8+ nominations or coming away with only a lead actor nod and maybe a couple of art/techs (cinematography and score perhaps).
the same gangs of new york thought is what im thinking for Into the Wild, in the sense that it could potentially get 10 nominations and not get one award...No Country will not get shut out, but it's really the only film that is almost assured of getting some sort of win
ReplyDeleteI'm not convinced that TWBB will come away with 10 nominations the way Gangs of New York did. Perhaps Into the Wild will, Joey, as it also has a couple of supporting roles that could very well be nominated. I don't see Dano getting a nod for TWBB with all the competition in this category. He was better than I thought he would be (from the scenes in the trailer he looked as if he'd been miscast) but not outstanding enough to stack up against the likes of Bardem, Affleck, Holbrook, Wilkinson, Hoffman, etc.
ReplyDeleteTWBB has done well in the precursors and looks good for Picture, Director, Lead Actor of course, Adapted Screenplay perhaps and some tech nominations. Then again, if it doesn't make the BP or Director line up I won't be surprised. It's a film that not everyone likes. And even if it is nominated in BP and/or BD, I don't see it winning.
indeed Alison...it's interesting that so late in the race it's still anyone's ballgame...even with best pic....the academy won't pull a Dreamgirls and not nominate it, but it is definitely not a lock to win just yet...
ReplyDeleteI think Sweeney will get nominated for a ton of awards but win very few. I wish it would win the best picture , best director, and best actor trophies is deserves, but we all know how the academy feel about anything Burton. They hate him no matter what masterpiece he makes. Anywho, I think NCFOM will probably walkk away with the most wins total, but Sweeney could win a bunch of tech awards and come home the most awarded of the group.
ReplyDeleteI agree with a lot of the comments. I could see into the wild getting a ton of nods. No Country will get like 3 or 4 I think, but will win a lot of them. So, percentage wise, I think No Country will have the highest...but into the wild, sweeney, or atonement will probably get the most nods.
ReplyDeleteplease refrain from calling people idiots...you wouldn't appreciate it if someone called you an idiot for liking Atonement, so please be respectful of others in the future....and yes, Atonement could potentially get a large amount of nominations, and probably will get more than Hairspray, but Into the Wild has as much a chance as any film right now to get a bundle of nods
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