Well, it remains to be seen, but this article in Vanity Fair gives an interesting perspective on things, while not really making a definitive statement. There are a lot of good points to be found, and I pretty much agree with its assessment. It's too early for a final judgment though, as much can still change before the Oscar nominations are even announced, let alone the coronation of the winners occurring.
-Do you think Precious peaked?
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I think it hit it's peak WAY too fast. Everyone didn't have time to let it simmer and build up buzz. It just kidn of exploded. That's usually a good thing, if a film is released around the end of the year. Avatar, The Hurt Locker, and Up in the Air have benefitted from a sudden explosion of buzz late in the year. It's the reason I think Avatar will win. It's exploded with buzz late in the game and will likely steamroll it's way to a victory. Precious had the unfortunate side-effect of being the early right out of the gate front-runner and September, and thus a backlash was inevitable and since then, other things have risen and fallen. Precious will be nominated, but a win is HIGHLY unlikely at this point. I honestly think that at this point the only thing it will win is Supporting Actress. Not only do we have over a month until nominations are announced, but we have 3 months until winners are announced. The film can't and won't maintain buzz that long. It's struggled to stay in the conversation this long as is.
ReplyDeletewe shall see, but I think it's very much on life support in a number of ways...
ReplyDeleteIf precious isn't nominated for best picture I will be extremely disappointed. Maybe you guys should update the predictions so I'm not so shocked when it doesn't get nominated. There are a bunch of non-bestpicture friendly films that I've come to terms with accepting they won't really have much of a chance (Wild Things, The Cove), but precious? I just don't get the fall off. There isn't a single thing about it that didn't blow me away (except maybe the directing).
ReplyDeleteI honestly think it's not a Best Picture lock, but that it'll get a nomination in the end (though it has about 1% chance of winning now, which is odd considering its chances have actually gotten worse as fellow contenders have fallen off the map)...
ReplyDeleteLike I said, the danger of peaking too early is the risk of a backlash. That's what happened last year with Benjamin Button.
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ReplyDeleteBenjamin Button was a much later release, though it was hurt by massive pre-release hype, like Dreamgirls and Revolutionary Road...
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